Kusinthasintha

Fomula ya betcha limodzi

Pa betcha limene limalipira W ku 1 ndi kuthekeramasamuKuthekeraMwayi wa zotsatira, kuchokera 0 mpaka 1 kapena 0% mpaka 100%. Nambala imodzi: 1/37 = 2.70%.Werengani yonse → p, zotsatira pa unitndalamaUnitNdalama zobetcha zoyambira zimene dongosolo kapena wosewera amagwiritsa ntchito. Maprogression amafotokozedwa mu ma unit kuti agwire ntchito pa tebulo lililonse.Werengani yonse → iliyonse ndi +W ndi kuthekera p ndi −1 ndi kuthekera 1 − p. Mtengo woyembekezekamasamuMtengo woyembekezekaZotsatira zapakati pa betcha lililonse pa nthawi yayitali. −1/37 ya ndalama zobetcha pa betcha lililonse la ku Ulaya wamba.Werengani yonse → ndi pW − (1 − p) = −1/37. KusinthasinthamasamuKusinthasinthaMuyeso wa kufalikira kwa zotsatira kuzungulira mtengo woyembekezeka. Kwakukulu pa straight up, kochepa pa mabetcha a even-money.Werengani yonse → ndi E[X²] − EV² = pW² + (1 − p) − (1/37)². Pa straight upbetchaStraight upNambala imodzi, amalipira 35:1.Werengani yonse →: (1/37)(1225) + 36/37 − 0.0007 ≈ 34.08. Pa zofiirabetchaZofiiraBetcha la even-money pa manambala 18 ofiira. Mu Chifalansa: rouge.Werengani yonse →: 18/37 + 19/37 − 0.0007 ≈ 0.999.

Tanthauzo lake pa gawo la masewera

Kusinthasintha kumaphatikizana pa kuzungulira kodziyimira payokhamasamuKuzungulira kodziyimira payokhaKuzungulira kulikonse kuli ndi kuthekera kofanana mosasamala kanthu za mbiri. Maziko a kuwerengera kulikonse pa tsamba lino.Werengani yonse →, choncho pa kuzungulira N ndi ndalama zobetcha zosasintha kusinthasintha kwa chiwerengero chonse ndi N × ndalama zobetcha² × σ², ndipo kupatuka kokhazikikamasamuKupatuka kokhazikikaMuzu wa sikweya wa kusinthasintha; mtunda wanthawi zonse wa zotsatira kuchokera ku mtengo woyembekezeka.Werengani yonse → ndi σ × ndalama zobetcha × √N. Kuzungulira 100 pa $10: kupatuka kokhazikika ndi pafupifupi $584 pa ma straight up ndi $100 pa zofiira, mozungulira −$27 yoyembekezeka yofanana. Wosewera mmodzi amaona zotsatira zikusinthasintha ndi mazana; winayo amaona kusuntha pang’onopang’ono. Onse akulipira mtengo wofanana.

Kuzungulira kwa Roulette Kodziyimira Payokha

Kusinthasintha ndi madongosolo

ProgressionnjiraProgressionLamulo lililonse limene limasintha ndalama zobetcha potengera zotsatira zakale. Maprogression olakwika amazikweza pambuyo poluza, abwino pambuyo popambana.Werengani yonse → sisintha EV pa unit iliyonse yobetchedwa koma imasintha ndalama zobetchedwa ndi mawonekedwe a kagawidwe ka zotsatira. MartingalenjiraMartingaleProgression yowirikiza betcha pambuyo poluza kulikonse. Onani gawo la Njira kuti mudziwe zimene imachita ndi zimene siimachita.Werengani yonse → imachepetsa kusinthasintha kwa magawo ambiri (kupambana kwazing’ono kambiri) ndipo imawonjezera mchira wonenepa (kutayika kwakukulu kosowa); kusinthasintha konse pa magawo onse ndi kokwera kuposa kwa kubetcha mofanananjiraKubetcha mofananaKubetcha ndalama zofanana pa kuzungulira kulikonse. Muyeso umene progression iliyonse imayerekezeredwa nawo.Werengani yonse → chifukwa cha mchira umenewo. ParolinjiraParoliProgression yabwino: wirikizani mutapambana, bwererani poyambira mutaluza kapena mutapambana katatu motsatizana. Imatchedwanso: reverse Martingale.Werengani yonse → imachita zosiyana. Kusankha dongosolo ndiko kusankha mawonekedwe a kusinthasintha; avareji sili pa zosankha.

Njira ya Roulette ya Kubetcha MofananaNjira ya Roulette ya Paroli (Martingale Yotembenuzidwa)

N’chifukwa chiyani zili zofunika kwa wosewera

Kusinthasintha ndiko kumene kumapangitsa magawo afupiafupi kukhala osadziwika ndi aatali kukhala odziwika. Ndi σ = $100 ndi EV = −$27 pa kuzungulira 100, phindu la kasino ndi kotala la phokoso ndipo gawo lopambana ndi lachizolowezi. Pa kuzungulira 10,000 EV ndi −$2,700 ndipo σ ndi $1,000; phindu la kasino tsopano lili pafupifupi kuwirikiza katatu phokoso ndipo nthawi yopambana ndi chochitika cha three-sigma. Kusinthasintha ndi bwenzi la wosewera pa nthawi yochepa ndipo la kasino pa nthawi yayitali.

Kusinthasintha kwa mabetcha ophatikizana

Pa mabetcha angapo pa kuzungulira komweko, zotsatira zimagwirizana (kugunda pa 17 kulinso kugunda pa zakudabetchaZakudaBetcha la even-money pa manambala 18 akuda. Mu Chifalansa: noir.Werengani yonse → ndi pa dazenibetchaDazeni1–12, 13–24 kapena 25–36, amalipira 2:1.Werengani yonse → lachiwiri), choncho kusinthasintha sikumangophatikizana. Chida cha Chopangira Mabetcha chimawerengera kagawidwe kenikeni ka gulu lililonse la machipindalamaChipiChizindikiro choimira ndalama yokhazikika, choikidwa pa dongosolo la mabetcha kuti mupange betcha. Chimatchedwanso: check.Werengani yonse → powerenga zotsatira zonse 37, ndipo imeneyo ndiyo njira yokhayo yolondola.

Chopangira Mabetcha

Fomula

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