Momwe Mungazindikirire Kukondera kwa Gudumu la Roulette
Lembani, werengani, yesani, kenako lembani zambiri: umu ndi mmene mungadziwire kukondera kwa gudumu la roulette.
Sonkhanitsani kuzungulira chikwi chimodzi pang’ono kuchokera pa gudumu limodzi, werengani kugunda pa kabowo kalikonse, chitani mayeso a chi-squarelabuMayeso a chi-squareMayeso a ziwerengero oyerekeza kugwa kowonedwa pa kabowo kalikonse ndi n/37 woyembekezeka. Amagwiritsidwa ntchito poona ngati gudumu ndi lokondera.Werengani yonse →, ndipo onani zotsatira zilizonse zofunika ngati chifukwa chosonkhanitsira chitsanzo chachiwiri chodziyimira payokha.
1. Lembani
Mbiri za kuzungulira kuchokera ku matebulo a pompopompo kawirikawiri zimafalitsidwa kapena kuonetsedwa ndipo zingathe kukopedwa. Lembani kuti ndi gudumu liti: matebulo amasinthasintha mitu ya gudumuzipangizoMutu wa gudumuDzina lina la rotor: gawo lozungulira lonyamula manambala.Werengani yonse → pakati pa ma bowlzipangizoBowlGawo lakunja la gudumu losasunthika: m’mphepete wa matabwa kapena zinthu zosakaniza umene umanyamula njira ya mpira ndi apron, mkati mwake rotor imazungulira.Werengani yonse →, ndipo kukondera ndi kwa gudumu, osati kwa tebulo kapena dealer. Lembani tsiku ndi nthawi; gudumu lokondera lero lingakonzedwenso ma fret mawa. Kuzungulira chikwi chimodzi ndiko kocheperako kuti mayeso anene chilichonse; zikwi khumi ndi pamene ayamba kukhala othandiza.
2. Werengani ndi kuyesa
Werengani kugunda pa kabowozipangizoKabowoChimodzi mwa tibowo 37 tokhala ndi manambala pa rotor. Kamatchedwanso: slot, cup.Werengani yonse → kalikonse. Zoyembekezeka ndi n/37 iliyonse. Werengerani chiwerengero cha chi-square, Σ (zoonedwa − zoyembekezeka)² / zoyembekezeka, pa tibowo 37 ndipo yerekezani ndi kagawidwe ka chi-square pa madigiri a ufululabuMadigiri a ufuluChiwerengero cha mitengo yodziyimira payokha mu chiwerengero cha ziwerengero. Pa mayeso a chi-square pa tibowo 37 ndi 36, chifukwa ziwerengero ziyenera kuphatikizana kufika chiwerengero chonse.Werengani yonse → 36. Chosanthula Kukondera kwa Gudumu la Roulette patsamba lino chimachita zimenezi mu msakatuli. Yang’ananinso magawogudumuGawoMndandanda wolumikizana wa tibowo pa gudumu, mosiyana ndi gulu pa dongosolo la mabetcha.Werengani yonse →: vuto lakuthupi kawirikawiri limakhudza tibowo toyandikana pamodzi, ndipo mayeso a gawo ali ndi mwayi wochepa wopereka zotsatira zabodza kuposa mayeso 37 a kabowo kamodzi kamodzi.
3. Bwerezani
Gawani zambiri m’magawo awiri, kapena sonkhanitsani chitsanzo chatsopano cha kukula kofanana kuchokera pa gudumu lomwelo. Kukondera kwenikweni kumaonekera m’zitsanzo zonse ziwiri; mwangozi sikutero. Chi-square yofunika pa 5% m’chitsanzo chimodzi imayembekezeka kamodzi pa makumi awiri kuchokera pa gudumu lachilungamo, ndipo wosewera amene amayang’ana magudumu ambiri adzapeza zitsanzo zotere nthawi zonse. Pokhapokha mutabwereza m’pamene kuli koyenera kuwerengera ngati tibowo totentha timalipira mokwanira kupambana 2.70%.
4. Yezani kukula kwa zotsatira
Kufunika (significance) kumanena kuti gudumu mwina si lachilungamo. Kupindula kumafuna kabowo kogundidwa pa 1/36 kapena kuposa, chifukwa straight upbetchaStraight upNambala imodzi, amalipira 35:1.Werengani yonse → imalipira 35 ku 1. Kabowo koonedwa ndi kugunda 40 pa 1,000 ndi 1/25, zimene zikanakhala zopindulitsa kwambiri ngati zili zenizeni, ndipo zikanakhalanso chochitika cha 2.5-sigma pansi pa chilungamo; chitsanzo chachiwiri cha 1,000 chikanayembekezeka kuchionetsanso pa 40 ± 6 ngati kukondera kuli kwenikweni ndi pa 27 ± 5 ngati kunali phokoso.
Kenako chiyani: kuzindikira kukondera kwa gudumu la roulette m’makasino amakono
Kale: betchani gawo lotentha, pambanani mpaka kasino izindikire, ndipo kenako mumaletsedwa kapena mumaona gudumu likuchoka. Banja la García-Pelayo linachita zimenezi pafupi ndi Madrid kumayambiriro kwa m’ma 1990, ndipo kasino itawaletsa makhoti a ku Spain anathetsa chiletsocho. Makasino tsopano amasinthasintha ma rotorzipangizoRotorGawo lozungulira la gudumu limene limanyamula tibowo.Werengani yonse → pakati pa ma bowl ndipo amayeza tibowo motsatira ndandanda; kukondera kokwanira kuoneka pa kuzungulira chikwi chimodzi sikukanapulumuka cycle ya kukonza. Njirayi ndi yomveka, koma kuzindikira kukondera kwa gudumu la roulette m’makasino amakono kumabwera mochedwa: mwayiwo, kwenikweni, watha.
Osewera Roulette OtchukaGonzalo García-Pelayo: Dongosolo la Roulette
Kabowo kogundidwa kwambiri nthawi zonse kamakhala kotanganidwa
Kusankha kabowo kogundidwa kwambiri ndi kukayesa kokha ndi msampha, chifukwa gudumu lachilungamo nthawi zonse lili ndi kabowo kogundidwa kwambiri. Pambuyo pa kuzungulira 3,700 kabowo kalikonse kamayembekezera kugunda 100, komabe kogundidwa kwambiri kawirikawiri kamaonetsa pafupifupi 122, ndipo m’chitsanzo chimodzi pa makumi awiri kamaonetsa 131 kapena kuposa. Kogundidwa pang’ono kwambiri kawirikawiri kamaonetsa pafupifupi 79. Choncho kabowo ka 125 pa kuzungulira 3,700 si chopezeka: kayerekezeni ndi zimene kabowo kogundidwa kwambiri ka gudumu lachilungamo kamachita, osati ndi 100.
Zolakwa zofala
Kusakaniza kuzungulira kochokera pa magudumu osiyana kapena mitu ya gudumu yosiyana. Kuyesa mutaona kale zambiri ndi kusankha kagawidwe kamene kakuoneka koipa kwambiri. Kuona nambala yotenthanthanoNambala yotenthaNambala imene yatuluka kawirikawiri kuposa moyembekezeka posachedwapa. Pa gudumu lachilungamo siilosera chilichonse.Werengani yonse → pa kuzungulira 200 ngati chizindikiro. Kuiwala kuti mayeso amaganiza kudziyimira payokha, choncho zotsatira za chizindikiro cha dealer zikanakwezanso chi-square popanda kabowo kalikonse kukondedwa mwakuthupi.
Mafunso
1,000 kuti mungochita mayeso; masauzande angapo kuti muzindikire kukondera koyenera kukhala nako; makumi a masauzande kuti mukutsimikize.
Pokhapokha ngati likuzindikiritsa gudumu ndi kuonetsa kuzungulira kokwanira. Mabolodi ambiri amaonetsa 20 mpaka 500, zimene sizokwanira.
Kuti gudumu mwina silikupanga zotsatira zofanana. Osati kuti kabowo kalikonse kamalipira mokwanira, ndipo osati kuti kalembedwe kadzapitirira.
Masamu Osangalatsa
Yesani nokha choyamba. Yankho lililonse labisika; litsegulireni mukakonzeka.
Pa gudumu lotha tibowo titatuzipangizoKabowoChimodzi mwa tibowo 37 tokhala ndi manambala pa rotor. Kamatchedwanso: slot, cup.Werengani yonse → tofiirabetchaZofiiraBetcha la even-money pa manambala 18 ofiira. Mu Chifalansa: rouge.Werengani yonse → ndi tosazama pang’ono, ndipo mpirazipangizoMpiraMpira waung’ono umene umaponyedwa mu njira motsutsana ndi rotor. Mipira yamakono ndi ya ivorine kapena Teflon, 18–21 mm.Werengani yonse → umene ukanaima m’menemo umapitirira kugudubuzika kulowa m’tibowo takudabetchaZakudaBetcha la even-money pa manambala 18 akuda. Mu Chifalansa: noir.Werengani yonse → tapafupi nato, choncho zofiira zimatuluka ka 15 pa 37 ndipo zakuda ka 21. Kodi mabetcha pa zofiira ndi pa zakuda tsopano amawononga kapena kupeza zingati?
Onetsani yankho
Yankho Zofiira zimawononga 18.9%; zakuda zimapeza 13.5%.
Zofiira zimapambana ka 15 pa 37 ndipo zimaluza ka 22: (15 − 22)/37 = −18.9%. Zakuda zimapambana ka 21 ndipo zimaluza ka 16: (21 − 16)/37 = +13.5%.
Kukondera kumadula mbali zonse ziwiri. Gudumu limene limapereka phindu kwa wosewera amene walyeza limalipiritsa kuwirikiza kasanu ndi kawiri mtengo wanthawi zonse kwa wosewera amene wachirikiza mtundu wolakwika. Hunacek (2025) amagwiritsa ntchito chitsanzo chofanana.
Tibowo titatu mwa 37 ndi vuto lalikulu kwambiri. Kukondera kwenikweni kawirikawiri kumakhala kagawo kakang’ono ka zimenezi, ndipo kumafuna kuzungulira masauzande ambiri kuti kusiyanitsidwe ndi mwayi, monga tsambali likusonyezera.
Nthabwala yopumitsa
Lembani, werengani, yesani, bwerezani. Kubwereza ndiko kovuta.
Magwero
- Pearson, K. “On the criterion that a given system of deviations from the probable…”
- Barnhart, R. T. Beating the Wheel.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.
- Wizard of Odds. “Hot Numbers in Roulette: Myths and Facts.”