Njira Zobetchera Roulette · Progression yabwino · mphindi 8

Njira ya Roulette ya Paroli (Martingale Yotembenuzidwa)

Njira ya roulette ya Paroli imawirikiza pambuyo pa kupambana ndipo imabwerera poyambira pambuyo pa kuluza kapena pambuyo pa kupambana katatu motsatizana.

Yankho lalifupi

Siigonjetsa gudumu; imangosintha mmene kutaya kumabwerera. Paroli imaika pachiopsezo betcha limodzi loyambira la ndalama zanu pa cycle iliyonse ndipo imabetchanso phindu pa zotsalazo. Kutayika koyembekezekamasamuKutayika koyembekezekaMtengo woyembekezeka kuchulukitsa ndi ndalama zonse zobetchedwa; kuchuluka kwapakati kwa ndalama zotayika mu gawo la masewera kapena nthawi inayake.Werengani yonse → sikusintha.

cholinga
kupambana 3 · ma unit 7
p(kupambana 3)
11.5%
phindu la kasino
2.70%
chiopsezo chachikulu kwambiri
unit 1 ya ndalama zanu

Yendani mu dongosolo

Kupambana kumapita sitepe imodzi patsogolo. Kuluza, kapena kupambana kachitatu, kumabwerera poyambira.

124Kupambana
ndalama zobetcha zotsatira1zotsatira mpaka pano0kuzungulira0

Ndalama zobetcha ndi zotsatira zili mu ma unit a betcha loyambira.

Kodi dongosolo la roulette la Paroli limagwira ntchito bwanji?

Betchani unitndalamaUnitNdalama zobetcha zoyambira zimene dongosolo kapena wosewera amagwiritsa ntchito. Maprogression amafotokozedwa mu ma unit kuti agwire ntchito pa tebulo lililonse.Werengani yonse → imodzi. Mwapambana, siyani zonse patebulo: betcha lotsatira ndi ziwiri. Mwapambananso, ndi zinayi. Mwapambana kachitatu, tengani phindu la ma unit asanu ndi awiri ndipo bwererani ku imodzi. Mukaluza nthawi iliyonse nanunso mumabwerera ku imodzi. Ndilo dongosolo lonse. Pambuyo pa kupambana koyamba mukubetcha phindu, choncho ndalama zosewererandalamaNdalama zosewereraNdalama zonse zimene mwazisiyira masewera. Kusamalira ndalama zosewerera ndiko kusankha kuchuluka kwake komwe mungaike pachiopsezo pa betcha lililonse ndi pa gawo lililonse la masewera.Werengani yonse → zanu zenizeni zimataya unit imodzi yokha pa cycle iliyonse. Kupambana katatu kwa even-money motsatizana kumachitika ndi kuthekeramasamuKuthekeraMwayi wa zotsatira, kuchokera 0 mpaka 1 kapena 0% mpaka 100%. Nambala imodzi: 1/37 = 2.70%.Werengani yonse → kwa (18/37)³ = 11.5%, pafupifupi cycle imodzi mwa zisanu ndi zinayi.

gawondalama zobetcha (ma unit)ndalama zanu pachiopsezozotsatira ngati betcha ili laluzazotsatira ngati betcha ili lapambana
111−1+1, pitani ku gawo 2
221−1+3, pitani ku gawo 3
341−1+7, cycle yatha
kuthekera kofikagawo 2: 48.6% · gawo 3: 23.7% · kumaliza: 11.5%
Zilizonse zingachitike, cycle imawononga osapitirira unit imodzi ya ndalama zanu. Ma cycle ambiri amawononga ndendende zimenezo.

Kodi gawo la masewera limaoneka bwanji?

Kutayikira pang’onopang’ono ndi kudumpha kwa apo ndi apo. Ganizirani kugula tikiti yaing’ono yomweyo mobwerezabwereza: iliyonse imawononga unit imodzi, zambiri zilibe kanthu, ndipo pafupifupi imodzi mwa zisanu ndi zinayi imalipira zisanu ndi ziwiri. Kuthekera komaliza gawo la kuzungulira 100 muli ndi phindu ndi kotsika (pafupifupi 30%) chifukwa magawo ambiri alibe ma cycle omalizidwa okwanira kuti abwezere kutaya kosalekeza kwa unit imodzi; gawo likatha muli patsogolo, nthawi zambiri limatha muli patsogolo kwambiri.

Magawo khumi a Paroli, $10 poyambirazotsatira poyerekeza ndi poyambira
+$790$0−$500+$340−$2500125250375500kuzungulirazotsatira
magawo 1,000 × kuzungulira 500 · wofiirira p10/p25/p75/p90, buluu wopepuka pakati, zitsanzo 82 zozimirira · sunthani pa tchati kuti muone ma quantile pa kuzungulira
  • p10 −$500
  • p25 −$500
  • pakati −$300
  • p75 +$30
  • p90 +$320
magawo 1,000 × kuzungulira 500 · mzere wa y wadulidwa pa peresentayilo ya 1–99 (monyanyira −$500 mpaka +$1,150) · kuzungulira 500 · loyambira $10 · even money
Masitepe otsika, ndi sitepe yokwera ya apo ndi apo. Palibe maphompho.
Ngati tikiti yaing’ono yogulidwa mobwerezabwereza: zambiri zilibe kanthu, ndipo pafupifupi imodzi mwa zisanu ndi zinayi imalipira zisanu ndi ziwiri.

Kodi dongosolo la Paroli limagwira ntchito?

Ayi. Limasintha mawonekedwe a kutaya, osati kukula kwake. Tiyerekeze p = 18/37. Pambanani 7 ndi kuthekera kwa p³ = 0.115; lutani 1 ndi kuthekera kwa 1 − p³ = 0.885. Zotsatira zoyembekezeka pa cycle: 7(0.115) − 1(0.885) = 0.805 − 0.885 = −0.08 ma unit. Ma unit oyembekezeka obetchedwa pa cycle: 1 + 2p + 4p² = 1 + 0.973 + 0.947 = 2.92. Gawani: −0.08 / 2.92 = −2.7%. Dongosolo lililonse limapereka chiwerengero ichi mukagawa.

Maganizo okopa ndi akuti machipindalamaChipiChizindikiro choimira ndalama yokhazikika, choikidwa pa dongosolo la mabetcha kuti mupange betcha. Chimatchedwanso: check.Werengani yonse → obetchedwanso ndi ndalama za kasino, choncho kuwabetcha sikuwononga kanthu. Ndi anu kuyambira nthawi imene alipidwa, ndipo lililonse lobwezedwa patebulo limanyamula 2.70% yomweyo.

Bwanji ngati mutadikira kupambana kanayi motsatizana?

ParolinjiraParoliProgression yabwino: wirikizani mutapambana, bwererani poyambira mutaluza kapena mutapambana katatu motsatizana. Imatchedwanso: reverse Martingale.Werengani yonse → mpaka kupambana kanayi imasandutsa unit imodzi kukhala 16, phindu la 15, ndi kuthekera kwa (18/37)⁴ = 5.6%. Taylor (2021) amafunsa funso lakuthwa kwambiri: ndi ndalama zosewerera za ma unit ochepa, kodi mwayi wopeza kupambana kotereko motsatizana ndalama zisanathe ndi wotani? Cycle iliyonse yolephera imawononga ndendende unit imodzi, choncho ndi ma unit 15 yankho ndi 1 − (1 − 0.056)¹⁵ = 58%, bwino kuposa 48.6% ya kuika onse 15 pa zofiirabetchaZofiiraBetcha la even-money pa manambala 18 ofiira. Mu Chifalansa: rouge.Werengani yonse → nthawi imodzi. Vuto likuonekera m’ziwerengero zina. Kupambana motsatizanako nthawi zambiri kumabwera pambuyo pa ma cycle angapo olephera, choncho phindu likabwera lili ndi avareji ya ma unit 9, osati 15, ndipo chifukwa progressionnjiraProgressionLamulo lililonse limene limasintha ndalama zobetcha potengera zotsatira zakale. Maprogression olakwika amazikweza pambuyo poluza, abwino pambuyo popambana.Werengani yonse → imabetcha zochuluka zonse pamodzi, zotsatira zake za avareji ndi zoipa kuposa za betcha limodzi.

ndalama zosewerera, ma unitmwayi wa kupambana kanayi motsatizana zisanathezotsatira za avareji kukabwerazotsatira za avareji
315.9%+14.0−0.29
836.9%+11.8−0.68
1557.9%+9.1−1.07
3082.3%+4.6−1.52
Zofiira pa gudumu la ziro imodzi, unit imodzi poyambira, kuima pa kupambana kanayi motsatizana koyamba kapena ndalama zosewerera zikatha. Poyerekeza, betcha limodzi la ma unit 15 pa zofiira limapambana 15 ndi kuthekera kwa 48.6%, ndipo zotsatira zake za avareji ndi −0.41 ma unit.

Kodi pamene muima n’kofunika?

Pa mawonekedwe okha. Paroli mpaka kupambana kawiri (tengani 3) kapena kanayi (tengani 15) imasintha kuchuluka kwa kugunda ndi mphoto, osati phindu la kasino. “Parlay” pa betcha la straight up (kusiya kupambana kwa 35 ku 1 kupitirira) ndi lingaliro lomwelo ndi p = 1/37 ndi malipirondalamaMalipiroZimene betcha lopambana limabweza, zotchulidwa ngati “X ku 1” kuwonjezera pa ndalama zobetcha zobwezedwa.Werengani yonse → a 1,295 ku 1 pa kugunda kawiri motsatizana, ndichifukwa chake kwakukulu ndi nkhani osati chizolowezi.

Ndani amaisankha, ndipo chifukwa chiyani?

Osewera amene amafuna kutaya kwakukulu kochepa kodziwika pa cycle iliyonse ndipo savutika kutaya pang’onopang’ono chifukwa cha mwayi wa kupambana kwakukulu. Ndi galasi la maganizo la MartingalenjiraMartingaleProgression yowirikiza betcha pambuyo poluza kulikonse. Onani gawo la Njira kuti mudziwe zimene imachita ndi zimene siimachita.Werengani yonse →: Martingale imakupangitsani kumva ngati wopambana mpaka usiku umene simuli; Paroli imakupangitsani kumva ngati woluza mpaka usiku umene simuli. Kasino imatenga 2.70% ya ndalama zonse zobetchedwandalamaNdalama zonse zobetchedwaNdalama zonse zobetchedwa mu gawo la masewera kapena nthawi inayake, kuphatikizapo ndalama zopambana zobetchedwanso. Zimatchedwanso: handle, action.Werengani yonse → mulimonse.

Choyerekezera · Paroli

Magawo a masewera 2,000 a mabetcha a even-money kuyambira ndi ndalama zosewerera $1,000.

Betcha loyambira $10 · malire a tebulo $500 · kuzungulira 100 pa gawo lililonse

Kugawika kwa zotsatira za magawokutaya ← | → phindu
−$620$0+$770
ikani cholozera pa mzere · mizere yofiira ndi magawo otaya, yobiriwira yopambana, mzere wotumbuluka uli pa $0
magawo omwe ali ndi phindu
36.8%
zotsatira zapakati (median)
−$60
zotsatira za avareji
−$54.99
anatha ndalama zonse
0.0%
peresentayilo ya 5
−$370
kutsika kwa ndalama kwakukulu (pakati)
−$230

Mafunso

Kodi Paroli, njira ya roulette ya Martingale yotembenuzidwa, ndi yotetezeka kuposa Martingale?

Yotetezeka m’lingaliro lakuti singapange kutaya kumodzi kowononga kwambiri. Osati yotsika mtengo: kutayika koyembekezeka pa unit iliyonse yobetchedwa ndi kofanana.

Kodi ndiyime pa kupambana katatu?

Poimira paliponse pamagwira ntchito mofanana m’masamu. Katatu ndi kwachizolowezi chifukwa mphoto (ma unit 7) imamveka yoyenera kudikira ndipo kuchuluka kwa kugunda (11.5%) sikuli kopanda chiyembekezo.

Nthabwala yopumitsa

Kubetchanso phindu kudakali kubetcha.

Kubetchanso phindu kudakali kubetcha.

Magwero

  1. RouletteDoc. Roulette strategies overview. https://roulettedoc.com/strategy
  2. Roulette77. Strategy description and examples. https://roulette77.us/strategies/reverse-martingale
  3. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Mutu 13, roulette.
  4. Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed. Academic Press, 2013.
  5. Taylor, D. G. Games, Gambling, and Probability: An Introduction to Mathematics, 2nd ed. CRC Press, 2021.
Njira Zobetchera RouletteNjira ya Roulette ya MartingaleNjira Zobetchera RouletteNjira ya Roulette ya Kubetcha MofananaMasamu a RouletteKuthekera kwa Zotsatizana mu RouletteKuyenda Pang’onopang’onoKuyenda Pang’onopang’ono: Ulendo wa ParoliNjira Zobetchera RouletteDongosolo la 1-3-2-6
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