Kuyenda Pang’onopang’ono · Kuyenda pang’onopang’ono · mphindi 7

Kuyenda Pang’onopang’ono: Masana a D’Alembert

Unit imodzi mmwamba mutaluza, unit imodzi pansi mutapambana, zofiira pa kuzungulira kulikonse kwa mazungulidwe zana. Dongosolo lofatsa kwambiri, ndi mtengo wa kufatsako.

Yankho lalifupi

Gawo loyerekezedwa la D’Alembert la mazungulidwe 100 pa $5 pa unit. Ndalama zobetcha zinabwerera ku $5 kasanu, zinakwera pang’onopang’ono mpaka $80 pa nthawi yoipa, ndipo zinatha pa $55 gawolo litatsika ndi $40. Dongosolo limene limamveka ngati kufanana koma silili choncho.

unit
$5 pa zofiira
lamulo
+1 unit mutaluza, −1 mutapambana
ndalama zobetcha zapamwamba kwambiri
$80
zotsatira
−$40 pa mazungulidwe 100

Yendani mu dongosolo

Kuluza kumakwera sitepe imodzi. Kupambana kumabwerera sitepe imodzi.

12345678910Kuluza
ndalama zobetcha zotsatira1zotsatira mpaka pano0kuzungulira0

Ndalama zobetcha ndi zotsatira zili mu ma unit a betcha loyambira.

Dongosolo

Yambani pa unitndalamaUnitNdalama zobetcha zoyambira zimene dongosolo kapena wosewera amagwiritsa ntchito. Maprogression amafotokozedwa mu ma unit kuti agwire ntchito pa tebulo lililonse.Werengani yonse → imodzi, $5, pa zofiirabetchaZofiiraBetcha la even-money pa manambala 18 ofiira. Mu Chifalansa: rouge.Werengani yonse →. Mutaluza onjezani unit; mutapambana chotsani imodzi, osatsika pansi pa imodzi. Lingaliro lake, limene d’Alembert sanapereke koma amaimbidwa mlandu, ndi lakuti kupambana ndi kuluza zimafanana, choncho pa banja lililonse la kuluza kamodzi ndi kupambana kamodzi tili patsogolo ndi unit. Masamu amanena kuti zofiira zimapambana 48.65% ya mazungulidwe, choncho kuluza kumaposa kupambana ndi pafupifupi kamodzi pa makumi anayi, ndipo ndalama zobetcha zimakwera pang’onopang’ono pakapita nthawi.

Mazungulidwe 1–30

Zofiira khumi ndi zinayi, zakudabetchaZakudaBetcha la even-money pa manambala 18 akuda. Mu Chifalansa: noir.Werengani yonse → khumi ndi zisanu, zirogudumuZiroKabowo kamodzi kobiriwira kamene betcha la even-money, dazeni kapena mzati siliphimba; gwero la phindu la kasino. Imatchedwanso: ziro imodzi, 0.Werengani yonse → imodzi. Ndalama zobetcha zinakwera mpaka $20 pa kuluza katatu motsatizana, zinabwerera ku $5 pofika kuzungulira 18, ndipo zinakwera mpaka $25 kumapeto kwa nthawiyi. Zotsatira +$20. Banja lililonse la kuluza ndi kupambana linapereka unit monga momwe zinalonjezedwera; kuluza kowonjezera kunazidya. Kumamveka ngati pampu yapang’onopang’ono imene imagwira ntchito nthawi zambiri.

mazungulidwezotulukakuchuluka kwa ndalama zobetchazotsatira
1–6P L L L P P5 → 20 → 10+$10
7–18zosakanikirana, zofiira pang’ono5–15+$40
19–30makamaka zakuda5–25−$30
pambuyo pa 3014 F · 15 K · 1 ziro25+$20

Mazungulidwe 31–65

Nthawi yoipa. Zofiira khumi ndi zitatu poyerekeza ndi makumi awiri ndi ziwiri zosakhala zofiira, kuphatikiza kuluza kasanu ndi kawiri motsatizana. Kuchokera pa $5 pa kuzungulira 41 ndalama zobetcha zinakwera unit imodzi pa nthawi mpaka $80, ndipo kutaya kulikonse kwa $75 kunafafaniza kupambana khumi ndi kasanu kwa $5 koyambirira. Zotsatira −$485 pa nthawiyi; zonse pamodzi −$465. Palibe chodabwitsa chimene chinachitika pa kuzungulira kulikonse; kukwera pang’onopang’ono ndiko kunachita zimenezo.

Gawo ili ndi ena asanu ndi anayi ofanana nalozotsatira poyerekeza ndi poyambira
+$1,310$0−$500+$955−$2500125250375500kuzungulirazotsatira
magawo 1,000 × kuzungulira 500 · wofiirira p10/p25/p75/p90, buluu wopepuka pakati, zitsanzo 83 zozimirira · sunthani pa tchati kuti muone ma quantile pa kuzungulira
  • p10 −$500
  • p25 −$500
  • pakati −$500
  • p75 −$500
  • p90 +$885
magawo 1,000 × kuzungulira 500 · mzere wa y wadulidwa pa peresentayilo ya 1–99 (monyanyira −$500 mpaka +$1,410) · kuzungulira 500 · loyambira $5 · even money
Mizere imayendayenda kwambiri kuposa kubetcha mofanana ndipo pang’ono kuposa Martingale. Kutsetsereka kwa avareji n’kofanana: −1/37 ya ndalama zonse zobetchedwa.
Unit imodzi pa nthawi, ndalama zobetcha zimakwera kuchokera pa $5 mpaka $80 pa kuluza motsatizana.

Mazungulidwe 66–100

Zofiira makumi awiri poyerekeza ndi khumi ndi zisanu zosakhala zofiira, ndalama zobetcha zikutsika kuchokera pa $80 kulowera ku $55 m’masitepe a $5. Kupambana kulikonse pa ndalama zobetcha zapamwamba kunabweza ndalama zenizeni: kupambana kwa $75 pambuyo pa kutaya $70 ndi banja lopereka +$5, koma banjalo ndi lalikulu. Zotsatira +$425 pa nthawiyi; zomaliza −$40.

Maakaunti

Ndalama zobetcha za avareji pafupifupi $37, choncho zonse zobetchedwa pafupifupi $3,670 poyerekeza ndi $500 kwa wobetcha mofanana $5. Kutayika koyembekezekamasamuKutayika koyembekezekaMtengo woyembekezeka kuchulukitsa ndi ndalama zonse zobetchedwa; kuchuluka kwapakati kwa ndalama zotayika mu gawo la masewera kapena nthawi inayake.Werengani yonse → pa $3,670 ndi $99; kwenikweni −$40, pansi pa kupatuka kokhazikikamasamuKupatuka kokhazikikaMuzu wa sikweya wa kusinthasintha; mtunda wanthawi zonse wa zotsatira kuchokera ku mtengo woyembekezeka.Werengani yonse → kumodzi. Kukwera kwa kukula kwa ndalama zobetcha ndi zotsatira zonse za dongosololi: ndalama zambiri pa tebulo, 2.70% womwewo pa dola iliyonse, kufalikira kwakukulu kwa zotsatira.

Zimene gawoli likusonyeza

D’Alembert ndi chinyengo cha wotchova juga cholembedwa ngati lamulo lobetchera: limaganiza kuti kupambana ndi kuluza zidzafanana msanga mokwanira kuti ndalama zobetcha zitsike. Zimafanana pa nthawi yaitali posungunuka, osati pokonzedwa, ndipo ndalama zobetcha zilibe chifukwa chobwerera ku unit imodzi. Ndi dongosolo lapang’onopang’ono lopanda phompho, ndipo kuchedwa kumeneko ndiko chifukwa chake osewera amalikhulupirira.

Kuyandikira pa Nthawi Yayitali: Lamulo la Manambala Akuluakulu mu Roulette

Mafunso

Kodi pali vuto la malire ngati la Martingale?

Kawirikawiri ayi. Ndalama zobetcha zimakula ndi unit imodzi pa kuluza kulikonse, osati kuwirikiza, choncho zimatenga nthawi yoipa yaitali kwambiri kuti zifike malire.

Kodi ndingaike malire pa ndalama zobetcha?

Inde, ndipo malirewo amalisandutsa kubetcha mofanananjiraKubetcha mofananaKubetcha ndalama zofanana pa kuzungulira kulikonse. Muyeso umene progression iliyonse imayerekezeredwa nawo.Werengani yonse → pa malirewo pambuyo pa nthawi yoipa. Malire aliwonse ali bwino; palibe amene amasintha phindu la kasino.

N’chifukwa chiyani limatchedwa dzina la d’Alembert?

Iye anatsutsa mu 1754 kuti mchira umakhala ndi mwayi waukulu pambuyo pa mitu yotsatizana. Otchova juga amene anagwirizana naye anatcha dongosololi dzina lake. Akanachita manyazi.

Nthabwala yopumitsa

Dongosolo lofatsa kwambiri. Limakwera pang’onopang’ono m’malo mogwa m’phompho.

Dongosolo lofatsa kwambiri. Limakwera pang’onopang’ono m’malo mogwa m’phompho.

Magwero

  1. d’Alembert, J. “Croix ou pile.” Encyclopédie, vol. 4, 1754.
  2. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Mutu 13, roulette.
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