Zida · Chowerengera

Chowerengera Chiopsezo Chotha Ndalama Zonse

Kuthekera kofika cholinga cha phindu musanataye ndalama zosewerera, pobetcha mofanana pa even money.

Ndalama zosewerera
Betcha
Cholinga
kufika cholinga
24.6%
kutha ndalama choyamba
75.4%
cholinga
+$250
ma unit (a / b)
50 / 25
mazungulidwe oyembekezeka mpaka kumaliza
1,168
EV ya kuyesako
−$315.70
Kuwerenga zotsatira

Pobetcha $10 pa nthawi, muli ndi mwayi wa 24.6% wosandutsa $500 kukhala $750 musanathe ndalama. Mabetcha akuluakulu amakweza kuthekera kumeneko chifukwa mazungulidwe ochepa amatanthauza misonkho yochepa ya 2.70%; amapangitsanso ulendo kukhala wovuta kwambiri. Yesani mabetcha a $100 poyerekeza ndi mabetcha a $5 kuti muone zotsatira zake.

Njira ndi zoganiziridwa
Gambler’s ruin ndi p = 18/37: P(cholinga) = (1 − (q/p)ᵃ)/(1 − (q/p)ᵃ⁺ᵇ), a = ndalama zosewerera/betcha, b = cholinga/betcha. Nthawi yoyembekezeka a/(q−p) − (a+b)·P/(q−p). Mabetcha a even-money ofanana okha.